TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tucumán
Volume:
$365,803
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the March 16, 2026 Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Barracas Central and CA Tucumán. Markets track whether Barracas wins, Tucumán wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains an asymmetric cancellation rule (resolves Yes if canceled) that conflicts with its win markets (resolve No if canceled) and diverges from Kalshi's silent treatment of cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Monitor AFA.com.ar for any postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders face basis risk: draw market pays out while win markets do not. Kalshi traders should seek clarification on their cancellation protocol before the match date. Consider hedging across platforms if significant cancellation risk emerges.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Barracas win (Yes if Barracas wins, No if canceled/postponed/other outcome), Tucumán win (Yes if Tucumán wins, No if canceled/postponed/other outcome), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup triggers resolution. Key Quote: Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation; win markets resolve No on cancellation.
- Kalshi: Three markets with identical structure: each resolves Yes if its specified outcome occurs (Barracas win, Tucumán win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation, postponement, or makeup game clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: All three markets state 'then the market resolves to Yes' for their respective outcome, with no contingency language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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