TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Banfield vs. Racing Club
Volume:
$167,572
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the CA Banfield vs. Racing Club professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets assess whether Banfield wins, Racing Club wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ on how cancellation with no makeup game is handled. Polymarket's draw market uniquely resolves Yes in this scenario, while all other markets resolve No. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation outcomes.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while Banfield win and Racing win markets resolve No. This creates a one-way payout on the draw market. Traders should monitor AFA official sources for cancellation announcements and adjust positions accordingly. The draw market on Polymarket offers cancellation risk protection that the win markets do not.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Banfield win resolves Yes if Banfield wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled with no makeup; (2) Draw resolves Yes if match ends in draw in 90+stoppage, or Yes if canceled entirely with no makeup game; (3) Racing win resolves Yes if Racing wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets all resolve Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicit logic: if match does not occur, no outcome can be confirmed, so no Yes resolution. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Banfield vs Racing Avellaneda professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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