TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central?

Volume:
$931,414

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 10:12 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166,063
N/A
N/A
$72,669
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central)

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rosario

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$423,458
N/A
N/A
$235,284
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Rosario Central

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Banfield

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205,005
N/A
N/A
$96,013
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Banfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CA Banfield will win their soccer match against CA Rosario Central on October 5, 2026, in the Argentine Primera División. Currently, the aggregated probability of a Banfield win is 76.5%. This forecast combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics from the AFA or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 5, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same 90-minute match result and have consistent fallback resolution procedures for postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (AFA) or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A Banfield win resolves the 'Banfield Win' market to 'Yes', a Rosario Central win resolves the 'Rosario Central Win' market to 'Yes', and a draw resolves the 'Draw' market to 'Yes'.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled without a reschedule, 'Banfield Win' and 'Rosario Central Win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Markets will resolve as soon as acceptable data is available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled completion of the match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between CA Banfield and CA Rosario Central.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Banfield vs Rosario professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game scheduled for October 5, 2026. If Banfield wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Banfield' market resolves to Yes. If Rosario wins under the same conditions, the 'Rosario' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. The markets exclude outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, as they incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, and aggregate a diverse range of perspectives on the Argentinian soccer match.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either CA Banfield or CA Rosario Central would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also lead to shifts in probabilities. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates related to the teams and the Argentinian soccer match is crucial for understanding potential market catalysts.