TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Aldosivi vs. AA Argentinos Juniors
Volume:
$242,604
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Aldosivi and AA Argentinos Juniors scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with separate binary markets for draw, Aldosivi win, and Argentinos Juniors win outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; Polymarket specifies outcome-dependent resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No if canceled with no makeup).Hero Tip:
Monitor for game postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Kalshi markets may require manual settlement or clarification from the platform. Polymarket's logic is deterministic: back the draw market as a hedge against cancellation risk, as it will resolve Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Aldosivi win, Tie, Argentinos win). Each resolves Yes if its condition is met. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Draw, Aldosivi Win, Argentinos Win). Explicit postponement clause: market remains open until completion. Explicit cancellation clause: draw market resolves Yes; win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Resolution source: AFA official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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