TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
An upcoming college football game features two teams competing against each other. The match is scheduled to include regulation time, with the possibility of additional periods if the score is tied. The outcome will depend on whether these extra periods are necessary to determine a winner.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the BYU vs UCF college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. However, sportsbook odds can initially move more quickly based on breaking news or significant bets. It's common to see prediction market prices converge towards the final sportsbook line as the event approaches, though differences can persist due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches among participants. Comparing this market’s price action to those offered by sportsbooks can provide additional insights into potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of overtime occurring in the BYU vs UCF game, scaled to a price between 0 and 100. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders participating in this market, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of overtime.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the BYU vs UCF game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game officially goes into overtime as determined by the official game statistics. The platform will verify the final result against established game records to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts predicting overtime will receive a payout if overtime occurs, while those holding contracts predicting no overtime will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either BYU or UCF would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting conditions that might favor a higher-scoring, potentially overtime-bound game. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could drive price fluctuations, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception of the likelihood of overtime.