TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the last quarter will be. The outcome depends solely on the combined points tallied by both teams during that specific period. Postponements and rescheduling within a defined window do not affect the resolution, provided the game eventually takes place.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the BYU vs UCF college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored in regulation 4th quarter play count—overtime points are excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set a line based on statistical models and team news, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate factors that are harder to quantify, such as momentum or perceived player motivation. Comparing the two can offer a more nuanced view of the event’s potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the BYU vs UCF game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will converge towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 4th quarter of the BYU vs UCF game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final price of those contracts at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either BYU or UCF would likely cause a shift in the price. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the first three quarters could also drive movement, as traders react to the unfolding game dynamics and adjust their predictions for the final quarter. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant momentum swings could also play a role.