TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between BYU and UCF. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the third quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
If UCF wins the 3rd quarter of the BYU vs UCF college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU wins the 3rd quarter of the BYU vs UCF college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the BYU vs UCF college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team’s chances, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the BYU vs UCF matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects real-time sentiment about the game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the BYU vs UCF game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning team for the purposes of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or UCF teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market. Finally, even public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence trading activity on Kalshi and move the price of contracts.