TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether UCF will win its college football game against BYU. Currently, Kalshi gives UCF a 71.0% probability of winning, while BYU is at 30.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the BYU vs UCF game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if UCF wins the contest scheduled for October 23, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of October 24, 2026.
Markets resolve based on the winning team of the specified college football game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open to resolve according to the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolutions. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful for those looking to identify potential value in either venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the BYU vs UCF game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key signals include any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance. Unexpected weather conditions or even public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, could also impact the odds. Major announcements related to the teams or the game itself are likely to cause price fluctuations as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.