TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether BYU will win their game against TCU by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of BYU winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the BYU vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, as determined by the final point differential. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if BYU wins by more than 21.5 points, with final resolution expected around October 4, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the BYU vs TCU college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For BYU win markets, resolution occurs if BYU’s victory exceeds the specified point threshold; for TCU win markets, resolution occurs if TCU’s victory exceeds its specified threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading on their beliefs. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a common benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective expectations of traders regarding the BYU vs TCU spread. The current price reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall within the range represented by that contract.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the BYU vs TCU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of $100 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will expire worthless. The market’s resolution is determined by the actual on-field result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or TCU teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trading decisions. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news about team strategy could also contribute to shifts in the BYU vs TCU spread.