TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between BYU and TCU. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the third quarter of the matchup. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the third quarter of the BYU vs TCU college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If TCU scores more points in that quarter, the TCU market resolves to Yes. If BYU scores more points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow you to trade your position up until resolution, unlike a fixed sportsbook bet.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the amount of buying and selling interest at different price levels, giving you insight into the potential for price movement. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect collective expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is leading after the third quarter of the BYU vs TCU football game. The final score at the end of the third quarter, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine the winning team for the purposes of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either BYU or TCU could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they impact the playing conditions, might also cause movement. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, as can significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks. Finally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could provide clues and influence traders’ decisions, leading to price adjustments in this market.