TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two teams during a specific quarter of a scheduled game. It focuses solely on points accumulated in that timeframe, providing insight into potential scoring trends without predicting the overall game outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the BYU vs TCU college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for resolution, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the cumulative points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have a different view, the prediction market odds often converge closer to the true outcome as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored in the BYU vs TCU 2nd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may lose money. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the BYU vs TCU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the governing sports authority. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the total points were above or below the threshold determined by the market price at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or TCU teams would likely cause movement, as this impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.