TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:15 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either BYU or TCU specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the BYU vs TCU college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For BYU markets, resolution occurs if BYU wins the second half by more than the specified margin; for TCU markets, resolution occurs if TCU wins the second half by more than the specified margin. Only points scored during the second half and overtime count toward these markets. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging toward probabilities that differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Polls and analysts often predict a winner, but this market allows you to see how people are putting their money where their mouth is, offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the BYU vs TCU game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the second-half spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts indicating a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is entirely driven by supply and demand from individuals trading on Kalshi, creating a dynamic reflection of collective expectations for the BYU vs TCU matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the BYU vs TCU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or TCU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely second-half point differential has the potential to move this market.