TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two college football teams in the first quarter of their matchup. It focuses solely on the scoring difference within the initial 15 minutes of play, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the BYU vs TCU college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either team achieves a winning margin exceeding the specified point threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points) within that timeframe. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or postponement circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value in either market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first quarter of the BYU vs TCU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or TCU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.