TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether BYU will win its college football game against TCU. Currently, Kalshi gives BYU a win probability of 83.0%, while TCU is at 17.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the BYU vs TCU game, as determined by the official result, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes if either BYU or TCU wins the college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves based on the collective wisdom of participants, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional betting lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the BYU vs TCU game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or TCU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game location, or even significant shifts in public perception—perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis—could all lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to team eligibility or game scheduling could also cause movement in this market.