TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SV Werder Bremen, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" if BV Borussia 09 Dortmund are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SV Werder Bremen" if SV Werder Bremen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SV Werder Bremen, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" if BV Borussia 09 Dortmund are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SV Werder Bremen" if SV Werder Bremen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than bookmakers, or that one venue has incorporated more recent data. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event’s probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Dortmund will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for Bremen. This dynamic pricing creates a constantly updated forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the match between Borussia Dortmund and SV Werder Bremen, as recorded by official match statistics. The result will be determined by the official game records and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the Oct 27, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dortmund or Bremen would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of each team’s chances of scoring first.