TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether any of the listed golfers will finish in the top 10 positions after the first three rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Each golfer's performance is evaluated individually against this benchmark.
Kalshi
If Kihei Akina finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Anderson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Baddeley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zac Blair finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Brehm finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonathan Byrd finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafael Campos finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Champ finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Chatfield finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eric Cole finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Cook finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trace Crowe finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Dahmen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Davis finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Duncan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Dunlap finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Eckroat finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Fishburn finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Ford finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Frittelli finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brice Garnett finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Gordon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Greyserman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bill Haas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Hadwin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Hardy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Higgs finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kensei Hirata finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rico Hoey finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hoffman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hoge finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mason Howell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Hubbard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mackenzie Hughes finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin James finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jay Leng finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Jones finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Takumi Kanaya finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeffrey Kang finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chan Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Kirk finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patton Kizzire finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Greg Koch finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Kohles finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Laird finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christo Lamprecht finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hank Lebioda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Lemieux finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Lingmerth finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke List finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Long finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Lower finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Willie Mack III finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Martin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny McCarthy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If William McGirt finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max McGreevy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troy Merritt finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Montgomery finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Moore finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nixon Lauritzen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seung-Yul Noh finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henrik Norlander finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pontus Nyholm finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If C.T. Pan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeremy Paul finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthieu Pavon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virgilio Paz finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Peterson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seamus Power finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chad Ramey finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chez Reavie finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Riley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcelo Rozo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miles Russell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rudy Sautron finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Schenk finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neal Shipley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Greyson Sigg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Silverman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Skinns finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camiko Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Smotherman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hayden Springer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Streb finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Svensson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brendon Todd finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Tosti finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Van Rooyen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John VanDerLaan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kris Ventura finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camilo Villegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Walker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Wise finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ren Yonezawa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be competitive with, and sometimes even more accurate than, those offered by sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of many individuals, creating a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. While sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, this market reflects the collective beliefs of traders actively assessing each golfer's chances. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or information available to market participants versus sportsbook operators, but often they converge as the event nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a golfer will finish in the top 10. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy a contract for a particular golfer, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final leaderboard for Round 3 of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which golfers actually finished within the top 10 positions at the conclusion of the round. The resolution will be based on the official results published by tournament organizers, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the golfers who ultimately achieved a top 10 finish.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in weather conditions at Port Royal Golf Course, or adjustments to playing strategies could all impact perceived probabilities. Strong performances by certain golfers during the first two rounds of the tournament will likely drive up their contract prices, while disappointing results could lead to declines. Unexpected withdrawals or late entries could also cause shifts in the market, as traders reassess the competitive landscape. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.
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