TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Butterfield Bermuda Championship End of Round 1 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead after Round 1?

Volume:
$2,568,888

Chandler Blanchet

 - Kalshi

Chandler Blanchet - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 5:40 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chandler Blanchet

View
100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,048
N/A
N/A
$37,791
5d 46m
Yes
kalshi

Ben Kohles

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174,630
N/A
N/A
$132,738
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Kensei Hirata

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,031
N/A
N/A
$81,849
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Eric Cole

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,988
N/A
N/A
$78,244
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Seamus Power

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,169
N/A
N/A
$75,271
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Robert Streb

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,280
N/A
N/A
$76,798
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Benjamin James

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,635
N/A
N/A
$75,646
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Corey Conners

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,773
N/A
N/A
$52,937
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Emiliano Grillo

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,217
N/A
N/A
$56,180
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Austin Smotherman

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,868
N/A
N/A
$52,500
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Adam Schenk

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,635
N/A
N/A
$50,635
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Andrew Novak

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,284
N/A
N/A
$48,468
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Davis Riley

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,531
N/A
N/A
$49,497
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Davis Chatfield

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,138
N/A
N/A
$44,138
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Danny Walker

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,671
N/A
N/A
$37,626
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Austin Eckroat

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,553
N/A
N/A
$42,277
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Willie Mack III

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,765
N/A
N/A
$38,765
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Chris Kirk

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,035
N/A
N/A
$36,707
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Vince Whaley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,703
N/A
N/A
$37,703
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Peter Malnati

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,684
N/A
N/A
$37,684
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Lee Hodges

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,629
N/A
N/A
$33,427
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Nick Dunlap

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,231
N/A
N/A
$34,231
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Zecheng Dou

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,440
N/A
N/A
$30,440
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Ben Silverman

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,153
N/A
N/A
$26,404
5d 46m
No
kalshi

Jonathan Byrd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,593
N/A
N/A
$28,096
5d 46m
No
Total markets: 25 of 120

Intro

This market tracks which golfer will be leading after the first round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Currently, Kalshi gives Chandler Blanchet a 94.9% probability of leading at the end of Round 1. The market resolves based on official tournament results as determined by whether Eric Cole is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Keep an eye on the first round scores concluding on November 8, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

Each market resolves positively if the specified golfer is the sole leader after Round 1 of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship. If multiple players share the lead, "Yes" positions receive a prorated payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down), while "No" positions receive the remainder of the stake pool. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player markets, ensuring consistent resolution mechanics regardless of which golfer is selected.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the continuously updating odds for who will lead after the first round of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. You’ll find the current price for each potential leader, a history of how those prices have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,047,031. Total volume for this market is $2,556,965. This allows you to see which golfers are currently favored and how market sentiment is shifting as more information becomes available.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, course conditions, or even weather forecasts. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but differences can present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, the pricing for this market is determined by supply and demand among traders. Participants are essentially betting on the likelihood of each golfer being the leader after Round 1 of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a ‘yes’ contract for a particular golfer represents the market’s estimated probability of that golfer leading. As traders buy ‘yes’ contracts, the price increases, and as they sell, the price decreases, creating a constantly updating reflection of market sentiment. This process continues until the market closes.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official leaderboard published by the tournament organizers after the first round will determine the winner of this market. The golfer at the top of that leaderboard will be considered the leader and the outcome will be finalized. The resolution will reflect the official tournament results and will be based on the lowest score after the first 18 holes.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form during practice rounds, or unexpected weather forecasts could all cause shifts in the odds. A strong performance by a lesser-known golfer in early play on Thursday would likely increase their contract prices, while a poor start from a favorite could see their prices decline. Overall course conditions, and any adjustments made by tournament officials, will also be closely watched by traders in this market.