TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
A football match between two college teams determines the winner through a points-based system, with the higher-scoring team claiming victory. The game is an important event for both schools' sports programs.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the college football game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into how the crowd perceives the event compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome and can lose money if their predictions are wrong.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Butler vs Drake game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. All trading will cease once the outcome is known, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Butler or Drake would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes, shifts in team performance during recent games, or even weather forecasts (if the game is outdoors) could also cause the market to move. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, as it influences trader behavior and perceptions of the likely outcome.