TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Korea K-League 2. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether one team wins outright or if the game ends level.
If Busan wins the Busan vs Jeonnam professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeonnam wins the Busan vs Jeonnam professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Busan vs Jeonnam professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe Busan will win, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Busan vs Jeonnam match, as reported by a trusted source for sports scores. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the verified result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting trends could also contribute to movement in this market.