TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an EFL League One soccer match between Burton and Leyton Orient, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold in the match. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Burton or Leyton Orient wins the match, with specific thresholds defined for each possible outcome. If Burton wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Burton wins by more than 1.5 goals, that corresponding market resolves to Yes. For Leyton Orient, winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals each have their own respective markets that resolve to Yes if achieved. All resolutions are determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to opportunities for informed traders to find value where sportsbooks may be less efficient. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Burton vs Leyton Orient match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregate predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price gets to 50, the more uncertain the market becomes about the spread. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded based on the final outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Burton vs Leyton Orient match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Major news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps fueled by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential movements in the market.