TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Burton and Bradford, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer rules, with the final score determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets, each evaluating whether a team wins by a specific goal margin threshold in the Burton vs Bradford EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026. All markets resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated condition is met: Burton wins by more than 2.5 goals, Burton wins by more than 1.5 goals, Bradford wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Bradford wins by more than 2.5 goals. If none of these conditions are satisfied—such as a win by exactly the threshold amount, a draw, or a win by a smaller margin—the markets resolve to 'No'. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume enters the prediction market. These differences can arise from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of available data regarding the Burton vs Bradford match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread itself is determined by the difference in prices between contracts representing the two sides of the bet, and this difference fluctuates based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Burton vs Bradford match, specifically the actual spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Successful predictions will result in a payout based on the contract's price at the time of purchase, while unsuccessful predictions will result in a loss of the initial investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also cause significant shifts in the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Burton vs Bradford match, leading to price adjustments.