TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:19 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 Spor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bursaspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 Spor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bursaspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Bursaspor vs. Mardin match will be used to determine the winning contract. Any official source reporting the result will be considered, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could shift expectations. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any shifts in public sentiment, could impact trading activity. The closer we get to the match date, the more sensitive this market will likely become to new information and evolving perceptions of each team's chances.