TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an EFL Championship soccer match between Burnley and Wolverhampton. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates various winning margins in the Burnley vs Wolverhampton EFL Championship match scheduled for October 16, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, Wolverhampton winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Wolverhampton winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout results excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations surrounding the Burnley vs Wolverhampton match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more confidence the market has in its likelihood, and the price will adjust accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Burnley vs Wolverhampton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The market will close prior to this date, allowing for final trading activity.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Burnley or Wolverhampton would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause price fluctuations as traders react to the new information and reassess the probabilities of different spread outcomes.