TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Burnley and Charlton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Burnley vs Charlton EFL Championship match scheduled for October 13, 2026. Resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct criteria define resolution: Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, Charlton winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Charlton winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion operates independently, meaning any one satisfied condition will resolve the respective market to 'Yes'. The governing body for match rules and officiating is the EFL Championship, though Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation or endorsement from the league. All trademarks and branding remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both reflecting updated information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, constantly shifting based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Burnley vs Charlton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Burnley or Charlton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.