TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:19h:57m
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This group resolves based on the outcome of the AFCON Qualifiers soccer game between Burkina Faso and Mauritania, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026. The markets determine whether Burkina Faso, Mauritania, or a tie will be the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Burkina Faso and Mauritania, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event covers a professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match between Burkina Faso and Mauritania scheduled for November 13, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Burkina Faso, a win for Mauritania, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by genuine belief – traders buy and sell contracts based on their assessment of the likelihood of an event. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the 'wisdom of the crowd' tends to minimize biases. However, factors like liquidity (volume of $0) and differing user bases can also create discrepancies between this market and sportsbook offerings.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Additionally, the specific contract design and available trading mechanisms on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket might have a different fee structure or allow for more complex order types than Kalshi. These subtle differences can lead to variations in how information is incorporated into the price, resulting in differing probabilities for the same outcome in the Burkina Faso vs. Mauritania match.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Burkina Faso vs. Mauritania match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure at the time of resolution. The final price reflects the collective prediction of all participants.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Burkina Faso or Mauritania would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence predictions. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could shift sentiment and affect trading activity. Finally, large-volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate informed opinions and trigger further movement in this market.