TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Burgos and Sabadell. Participants can speculate on whether Burgos will win, Sabadell will win, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Burgos vs Sabadell professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Burgos market occurs if Burgos secures a victory under these conditions. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Sabadell applies if Sabadell wins outright. If the match concludes with an equal scoreline at the end of regulation and stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively consider the result from regular time and do not account for any post-match proceedings such as extra time, penalties, or award decisions.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert opinions, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and potentially signaling a mispricing. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set their own bid and ask prices, and the market clears when a buyer and seller agree on a price. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that adjusts based on new information and changing sentiment about the Burgos vs Sabadell match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgos vs Sabadell match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, can impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.