TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Granada will win their professional La Liga 2 soccer game against Burgos. Currently, the probability of Granada winning on Kalshi is 64.0%, while a tie is priced at 27.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the Burgos vs Granada game originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on October 12, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution of this market.
Markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Burgos vs Granada professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Burgos, Granada, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level within regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. No outcomes consider extra time or penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction market odds move in response to news or events that haven't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgos vs Granada match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that determines settlement will be the final result of the match – which team wins, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the conclusion of the event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Burgos or Granada would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the odds. Furthermore, major tactical shifts announced before the game, or even in-game events like red cards, could lead to substantial changes in the probabilities reflected in this market. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, might also play a role.