TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Burgos CF and Granada CF, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Burgos CF" if Burgos CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Granada CF" if Granada CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Burgos CF and Granada CF, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Burgos CF" if Burgos CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Granada CF" if Granada CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, can quickly adjust to new information and potentially offer different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Burgos CF or Granada CF will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the collective believes is the most accurate probability. The market's liquidity and volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Burgos CF or Granada CF, scored the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and records. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or acknowledge losses based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Burgos CF or Granada CF would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match announcements about starting lineups, are potential catalysts. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns on Polymarket, could lead to price fluctuations in this market.