TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Burgos CF vs. CD Mirandés
Volume:
$74,523
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Burgos CF and CD Mirandés scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets assess three possible outcomes: a Burgos CF win, a CD Mirandés win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation rule that resolves a canceled match to Yes (treating cancellation as a draw), while Kalshi's structure does not explicitly address this edge case. This creates potential settlement inconsistency if the match is canceled.Hero Tip:
Monitor La Liga official channels for any match postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will see automatic Yes resolution, while Kalshi traders may experience delayed or ambiguous settlement. Request explicit cancellation guidance from both platforms before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Burgos win, Draw, Mirandés win). Draw market uniquely states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes".' This treats cancellation as equivalent to a draw outcome. Win markets resolve No on cancellation. Resolution source is official La Liga statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-event.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Tie, Burgos, Mirandés) that collectively resolve to Yes for exactly one outcome. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Structure implies all three markets would resolve No if match is canceled, but this is not stated. Resolution source is implied to be official La Liga records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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