TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. These traders may have specialized knowledge or unique insights, leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest or debate surrounding an event. Comparing the two can reveal interesting discrepancies.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. As more traders bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The current top outcome is SV Elversberg, though its chance percentage is unavailable.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg match, as determined by the governing soccer authorities. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups or changes in coaching staff could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, general news related to the teams or the league, such as financial difficulties or disciplinary actions, might affect the market. Even public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations.