TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s lines. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a broader perspective.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Bulls versus Bucks game, as reported by a major sports news outlet. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or even weather conditions affecting the game could also play a role. Major news cycles or public sentiment shifts, even those unrelated directly to basketball, can sometimes impact trading volume and prices in this market, reflecting broader investor behavior.