TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bullet Brawl Winner: Oct 31
kalshi

Who will win Bullet Brawl?

Volume:
$4,062

Alireza Firouzja

 - Kalshi

Alireza Firouzja - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 9:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
$1,562
Settled
No
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$764
N/A
N/A
$699
Settled
No
kalshi

Anastasia Avramidou

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
kalshi

Aravindh Chithambaram

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Aidan Baker

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexandre Edisherashvili

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrew Tang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Vihaan Karthikeya N

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

Tuan Minh Le

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Terry

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dincer Tasdogen

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Haowen Xue

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jose Martinez

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergei Zhigalko

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reza Mahdavi

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Emin Ohanyan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ilan Schnaider

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergey Sklokin-Bagiyan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patryk Cieslak

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alon Mindlin

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Amir Mohammad Hamidi

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Havard Haug

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryan Enming Lin

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 140

Description

This market centers on determining the winner of a fast-paced chess tournament, where participants compete in a high-stakes, time-pressured format. The outcome hinges solely on who achieves the highest score within the two-hour bullet arena format on the specified date.

Kalshi

Each market specifies that if the named player wins the Chess.com Bullet Brawl competition scheduled for October 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The competition follows a two-hour, score-based bullet arena format with a 1+0 time control (one minute per player, no increment). If the specified player does not participate in the event, their market automatically resolves to No. The tournament operates under Chess.com’s standard rules, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league. All trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or even expert forecasts, though discrepancies can exist due to differing information and incentives. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of the likely winner.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the group. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their chosen winner ultimately prevails in the Bullet Brawl. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by the official results of the Bullet Brawl competition, as declared by the event organizers. The platform will then verify the results against these sources to determine which contract will pay out. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the winning player will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Unexpected tournament results for key players, changes in player rankings, or even news regarding a player’s health or preparation could all shift trader sentiment. Significant upsets in preliminary matches, or the emergence of a new, highly-rated contender, would likely cause substantial movement. Public statements from chess analysts or prominent figures in the chess community could also influence trading activity, as could any unexpected developments related to the competition's format or rules.