TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bullet Brawl Winner: Nov 7
🌟New
kalshi

Who will win Bullet Brawl?

Nov 1, 2026, 11:30 AM EST - Nov 7, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$91
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$91
26%

Hikaru Nakamura

 - Kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 05d:01h:19m

Bullet Brawl Winner on Nov 7, 2026: Hikaru Nakamura

80%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 79¢ buys you 127 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $127 | Net Profit: $27 Multiplier: 1.27x | ROI: 27% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

Trade
80%
Yes 79¢No 28¢
7¢
N/A
$20
0%
N/A
$20
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Anastasia Avramidou

Trade
5%
Yes 7¢No 100¢
7¢
N/A
$71
0%
N/A
$71
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Tuan Minh Le

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Renato Terry

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Dincer Tasdogen

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Haowen Xue

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Jose Martinez

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Sergei Zhigalko

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Reza Mahdavi

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Emin Ohanyan

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Ilan Schnaider

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Sergey Sklokin-Bagiyan

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Patryk Cieslak

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Alon Mindlin

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Amir Mohammad Hamidi

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Havard Haug

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Bryan Enming Lin

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Bhavesh Mahajan

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Mohammad Hossein Darvishi

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Alikhan Khazhatuly

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Johnatan Bakalchuk

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Andrei Negrean

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
kalshi

Maksym Pankiv

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 19m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 140

Description

This market centers on determining the winner of a fast-paced chess tournament, where participants compete in a high-stakes, time-sensitive format. The outcome hinges solely on who claims the top position in the event, reflecting skill and strategy under pressure.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to an individual participant in the Bullet Brawl chess competition scheduled for November 7, 2026. If the named participant wins the tournament, that specific market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Participation is a key condition—if the participant does not take part in the event, the market automatically resolves to 'No'. The competition follows Chess.com's Bullet Brawl format: a two-hour, score-based bullet arena tournament using a 1+0 time control (one minute per player with no increment). Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official ties to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially be influenced by public perception, this market can adjust more rapidly to incorporate new data and insights, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their chosen winner prevails in the Bullet Brawl.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Bullet Brawl competition, identifying the ultimate winner. The platform will then determine the payout for winning contracts based on the final prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the performance or health of key players in the Bullet Brawl could shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in preliminary matches, changes in player strategies, or even public endorsements could all influence trader behavior. Major announcements related to the competition format or schedule could also cause movement. Monitoring chess news, player rankings, and tournament updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect the odds in this market.