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419,363

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Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers: Oct 31
kalshi

Who will finish in the Bullet Brawl top 5?

Volume:
$5,205

Hikaru Nakamura

 - Kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 9:51 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$991
N/A
N/A
$561
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ediz Gurel

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthias Bluebaum

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reza Mahdavi

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Renato Terry

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
No
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$657
Settled
No
kalshi

Jose Martinez

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$267
Settled
No
kalshi

Faustino Oro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
kalshi

Tuan Minh Le

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrew Tang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

Emin Ohanyan

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Woojin Yoo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeffery Xiong

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Andy Woodward

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Joshua Alexander

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

Dincer Tasdogen

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Haowen Xue

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergei Zhigalko

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ilan Schnaider

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergey Sklokin-Bagiyan

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patryk Cieslak

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 140

Description

This market tracks whether specified chess players achieve a top-five finish in a high-speed, score-based tournament on a specific date. The competition uses a strict time control where each player has only one minute per move with no extra time added.

Kalshi

All markets resolve to Yes only if the named player finishes within the top five positions in the Chess.com Bullet Brawl tournament scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market individually assesses a single participant's performance. If the player does not participate, the market automatically resolves to No. In cases where multiple players are tied after all official tiebreakers, all tied players receive credit for the highest shared position (e.g., players tied for third receive credit for finishing third). The tournament follows Chess.com's standard Bullet Brawl format: a two-hour, score-based competition using a 1+0 time control (one minute per move with no increment). Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with Chess.com or the governing bodies of this event. All trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bullet Brawl finishers market tracks the current odds for each potential top-5 finisher, the price history of those contracts, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $2,788 and total volume for this market is $5,205. You can see how the probabilities for each outcome are shifting in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential value in predicting the final results of the Bullet Brawl competition.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds for a particular competitor, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Bullet Brawl competition are verifiable from credible public reporting. The top 5 finishers will be determined based on the official standings published by the event organizers. The market will settle to 100 for the contracts corresponding to the actual top 5 finishers and 0 for all others. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding competitor performance, injuries, or strategic changes could shift expectations. Significant announcements about the event itself, such as rule modifications or changes to the competition format, could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in the fighting game community or shifts in public sentiment towards specific players could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential effect on the outcome is key to successful trading in this market.