TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether specified chess players achieve a top-five finish in a high-speed, score-based tournament on a specific date. The competition uses a strict time control where each player has only one minute per move with no extra time added.
All markets resolve to Yes only if the named player finishes within the top five positions in the Chess.com Bullet Brawl tournament scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market individually assesses a single participant's performance. If the player does not participate, the market automatically resolves to No. In cases where multiple players are tied after all official tiebreakers, all tied players receive credit for the highest shared position (e.g., players tied for third receive credit for finishing third). The tournament follows Chess.com's standard Bullet Brawl format: a two-hour, score-based competition using a 1+0 time control (one minute per move with no increment). Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with Chess.com or the governing bodies of this event. All trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds for a particular competitor, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Bullet Brawl competition are verifiable from credible public reporting. The top 5 finishers will be determined based on the official standings published by the event organizers. The market will settle to 100 for the contracts corresponding to the actual top 5 finishers and 0 for all others. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding competitor performance, injuries, or strategic changes could shift expectations. Significant announcements about the event itself, such as rule modifications or changes to the competition format, could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in the fighting game community or shifts in public sentiment towards specific players could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential effect on the outcome is key to successful trading in this market.