TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
- Kalshi
Oleksandr Bortnyk - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:02h:43m
$
This market tracks whether specified chess players achieve a top-three finish in a high-speed, competitive Bullet Brawl tournament on a specific date. The event involves rapid gameplay under strict time constraints, with outcomes determined by performance metrics.
Each market evaluates an individual player's performance in the Bullet Brawl chess competition scheduled for November 7, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified player finishes within the top three positions. If the player does not participate, the market resolves to 'No'. In cases where multiple participants are tied after all official tiebreakers, all tied players receive the best possible placement among the positions they share. For instance, players tied for third place are each considered to have achieved a top-three finish. The tournament follows Chess.com's standard Bullet Brawl format: a two-hour, score-based bullet arena competition with a 1+0 time control (one minute per move, no increment). Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit from the spread. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust as new information emerges and more people participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors and traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible finisher. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the event. The top-traded outcome currently has a chance percentage of 23.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results for the Bullet Brawl, specifically the top three finishers, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the publicly available and verified results of the competition, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final standings.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the condition or preparation of key competitors would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about changes to the event format or rules could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, performance in preliminary rounds or qualifying events leading up to the Bullet Brawl could provide valuable insights and influence the odds. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding specific competitors could all contribute to movements in this market.