TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bulgaria vs. Iceland
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Bulgaria vs. Iceland?

Total volume:
$1
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$3,893
21%
Open interest:
$1
0%

Iceland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:19h:48m

Iceland wins

79%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 79% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iceland

Trade
79%
Yes 54¢No 56¢
10¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
1w 3d 19h
Active
polymarket

Iceland

Trade
49%
Yes 57¢No 59¢
16¢
$1,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 16h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 54¢No 56¢
Avg: 13¢Max: 16¢
kalshi

Bulgaria

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 19h
Active
polymarket

Bulgaria

Trade
25%
Yes 31¢No 82¢
13¢
$1,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 16h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 10.5¢Max: 13¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 19h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Bulgaria vs. Iceland)

Trade
27%
Yes 33¢No 80¢
13¢
$1,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 16h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 9.5¢Max: 13¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Bulgaria and Iceland scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Bulgaria will win, Iceland will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating potential discrepancies in resolution if the game is not completed as scheduled.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's market will resolve to 'No' under more cancellation/abandonment scenarios than Kalshi's. This could lead to differing probabilities and settlement outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by November 15, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to 'No'. Detailed rules are provided for awarded, played, and replayed results in case of abandonment. Resolves to 'No' if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Bulgaria or Iceland wins, or if the game is a tie. No explicit rules are provided for game cancellations, abandonment, or data availability issues.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Bulgaria and Iceland, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Bulgaria wins the Bulgaria vs Iceland professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Iceland wins the Bulgaria vs Iceland professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Bulgaria vs Iceland professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Bulgaria vs. Iceland match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $1, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. It provides a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes, allowing you to see where the crowd stands on who will win. The dashboard tracks the evolving probabilities as traders on Polymarket and Kalshi buy and sell contracts related to the event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants' beliefs about the outcome. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, and the incentive structures of each. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from this market with those offered by sportsbooks, though transaction fees must be considered.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism for determining probabilities. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can lead to price discrepancies even when both platforms are tracking the same event. Factors such as differing user bases, trading volumes, and the specific rules governing each platform contribute to these variations. Furthermore, the information available to traders on each platform may not be identical, leading to divergent opinions and, consequently, different prices for the same outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Bulgaria vs. Iceland match will be used to determine the winning contract. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the probabilities. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or social media trends, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any updates on weather conditions or the playing field could introduce new information that traders factor into their predictions, causing the market to react accordingly.