TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the winner of the Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament among participating professional golfers. Contracts resolve based on the official tournament results, with specific handling for golfers who withdraw or do not start.
Contracts resolve to "Yes" if the specified golfer wins the Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament. All markets resolve based on official tournament results, with the winner determined by the lowest total score after the final round. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets resolve to "No," while Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value. These rules apply uniformly across all listed participants, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each market type regardless of the specific golfer.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, and may adjust them based on betting action. This market, however, allows anyone to participate in setting the odds by trading contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a golfer is more likely to win than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that golfer’s contract will increase, reflecting that belief. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases between the two.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the LPGA Shanghai tournament is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the winning golfer and 0 for all others. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the LPGA Tour. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand when the market will be finalized. Any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the market for the LPGA Shanghai tournament. A golfer’s recent performance in other tournaments, any reported injuries, or changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could all significantly shift the odds. Unexpected news regarding a golfer’s personal life or caddie changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any major upsets or surprising results in the early rounds of the tournament will likely cause substantial movement in this market as traders adjust their predictions.