TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Buick LPGA Shanghai End of Round 3 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead Buick LPGA Shanghai after Round 3?

Volume:
$4,877

Hye Jin Choi

 - Kalshi

Hye Jin Choi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 8:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hye Jin Choi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
$807
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miyu Yamashita

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,789
N/A
N/A
$3,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Na Rin An

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pajaree Anannarukarn

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aditi Ashok

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jenny Bae

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Celine Boutier

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Robyn Choi

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlota Ciganda

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Allisen Corpuz

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lauren Coughlin

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jinghan Cui

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karis Davidson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lindy Duncan

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jodi Ewart Shadoff

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Linn Grant

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nataliya Guseva

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Erika Hara

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Esther Henseleit

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wei-Ling Hsu

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

You Min Hwang

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jin Hee Im

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuai Ji

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Soo Bin Joo

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ariya Jutanugarn

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 81

Description

The 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai golf tournament features multiple markets focused on identifying the leader after the third round. Each market is tied to a specific player, with outcomes determined by their performance relative to others on that day.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player is the sole leader at the end of Round 3. If multiple players are tied for the lead, "Yes" positions receive a prorated payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down), while "No" positions receive the remainder of the stake pool. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistent resolution methodology regardless of the participant.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both types of markets. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player leading after Round 3. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that player leading. Conversely, selling a contract lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player is officially recorded as the leader at the end of Round 3 of the Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament. The official leaderboard published by the LPGA Tour will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results and will not be subject to any disputes or interpretations beyond the official leaderboard data.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player health, such as an injury withdrawal, would likely cause a shift in odds. Changes in weather conditions during Round 3 could also influence the leaderboard and, therefore, the market. Strong performance by a player during the early stages of Round 3, or a significant struggle by a current favorite, would also be major catalysts. Finally, any unexpected developments or controversies surrounding a player could also move this market as traders adjust their assessments of each player’s chances.