TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL hockey game between Buffalo and Washington. Each market corresponds to a specific winning team and a required goal differential for that team to satisfy the condition. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the game as recorded by official league sources.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Buffalo vs Washington NHL game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team wins by the exact goal margin stated in that market's primary rule. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the result still applies. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning no 'Yes' outcomes are confirmed and positions are adjusted equitably.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be highly correlated with those offered by sportsbooks, but they are not always identical. This market, like others, benefits from the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating information faster than traditional bookmakers. However, sportsbooks have different margins and risk management strategies, which can lead to discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets offer slightly different probabilities than those implied by sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Buffalo versus Washington spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. The current price indicates the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established by the NFL will be used to determine the winning side. The market will settle based on whether the actual point differential between the Buffalo and Washington scores falls within the range defined by the spread. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buffalo or Washington teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market often incorporates information independently.