TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must exceed for the market to settle positively. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, regardless of any delays or changes to the schedule within a defined timeframe.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Buffalo and Toledo in their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores above the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the result is still based on the official final score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in each market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes value lies, compared to the initial assessment of sportsbooks. This comparison can be a useful tool for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Buffalo and Toledo will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against reliable sports data providers. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams in the game. Traders holding contracts representing the correct team total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Buffalo or Toledo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also shift the market. Finally, general public sentiment and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, might influence trader behavior on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments in this market.