TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points
- Kalshi
Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:03h:31m
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This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Buffalo and Miami (OH). Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Buffalo vs Miami (OH) college football game scheduled for November 3, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold; if the winning team exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If Miami (OH) wins, markets specifying Buffalo victories resolve to 'No,' and vice versa. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges and traders react to it. It's common to see this market reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying discrepancies between public perception and sportsbook lines. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely game outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn’t set by a bookmaker, but rather emerges from the interactions of many individuals expressing their predictions. The current volume of $8,952 indicates the level of interest in this particular matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Buffalo vs Miami game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. This market provides an opportunity to express your view on the game’s outcome and potentially profit from accurate predictions.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability are likely to cause price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market represents a distinct, financially-driven forecast. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in the Buffalo vs Miami spread.