TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether James Cook III will score 3 or more touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R pro football game. Currently, Kalshi gives James Cook III a 30.0% probability of achieving this, while Josh Allen is at 26.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Blake Corum scores at least 2 touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the performance of Blake Corum during the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, as his touchdown count is the key to market resolution.
Each market resolves based on whether a specified player scores a minimum number of touchdowns (1 or more, or 2 or more) in the designated game. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market settles according to the actual number of touchdowns scored. All markets are independent, and each player's performance is evaluated separately. The markets cover offensive players, defensive/special teams units, and specific positions, with consistent snap-participation and touchdown-counting criteria across all rules.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly disagrees with a sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public opinion shifts regarding the likely outcome of the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of how many touchdowns will be scored in the game, and changes in price signal shifts in that assessment based on trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored by both the Buffalo and Los Angeles teams during the game will determine the resolution. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual number of touchdowns scored in the game.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team are significant catalysts, as are changes in weather forecasts that could affect the passing or running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, can impact volume and pricing in this market. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements.