TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on whether the Buffalo and Los Angeles professional football game scheduled for October 12, 2026 ends in a tie. A tie means neither team scores more points than the other by the final whistle, with no winner declared.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information surfaces. Polls and analysts’ predictions for the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game may also diverge from both sportsbook and prediction market probabilities, highlighting the varied perspectives on the event’s potential outcome. These discrepancies can present opportunities for traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a tie.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing a tie in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the outcome. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective belief of all participants, and is constantly adjusting based on new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a tie.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 if the game ends in a tie, and 0 otherwise. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be the determining factor. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the outcome is finalized and contracts are settled. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also cause price movements. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment, potentially signaling new information or a reassessment of the probability of a tie.