TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard thresholds for specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Buffalo and Los Angeles. The outcome depends on whether designated players achieve various rushing yard milestones during the full match, including overtime periods.
All markets are designated as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game starts unless the player meets the required rushing yards. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime performance.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's immediately available in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert opinions, but this market allows for continuous adjustment based on a wider range of factors, including injury reports, weather conditions, and even subtle shifts in public perception. While sportsbooks focus on balancing their books and profit margins, this market aims for accurate prediction, potentially leading to different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the total rushing yards. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher rushing total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, and the price movements reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely rushing yardage.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage total from the Buffalo versus Los Angeles game, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine the settlement of contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The market’s outcome is based on the official, verified statistics from the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling strategies, or even pre-game reports about defensive adjustments, could also move the market. Finally, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could also contribute to price changes.