TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether James Cook III’s rushing yards will trigger an escalating payout based on Josh Allen’s total rushing yards in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R professional football game. Currently, the probability of James Cook III Rushing Yards Escalator resolving to Yes is 16.0%, while Josh Allen Rushing Yards Escalator is at 4.7%. Resolution will be determined by the official rushing yard statistics from the game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, as reported by the official game statistics source. Keep an eye on the final game statistics following the game on October 13, 2026, to see if Cook’s rushing performance meets the escalating payout thresholds.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in a specific football game. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts escalate with each 10-yard increment, following a cubic scaling formula that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. 'No' contracts receive the difference between $1.00 and the 'Yes' payout. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for 'Yes' contracts. The payout formula adjusts raw yardage values into scaled returns, ensuring non-linear growth in potential earnings as yardage increases. All markets resolve to 'Yes' upon official game conclusion, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and represent a common point of comparison for those new to prediction markets. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant news breaks.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the Buffalo versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will profit based on the difference between their purchase price and the final settlement price. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the game, as injuries or other factors could significantly impact the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the rushing totals and, therefore, the market. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or game plans related to running the ball could also be catalysts. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or team dynamics could shift trader sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.