TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific Buffalo and Los Angeles players achieve predetermined yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. The focus is on combined rushing and receiving yards for individual players, with different markets set at varying yardage levels.
All markets resolve based on whether named players record specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap - even if that play is nullified by penalty - the market resolves based solely on the total rushing and receiving yards they record during the game. All yardage counts are verified against official game statistics. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for both Kyren Williams and James Cook III in this matchup.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely total rushing and receiving yards. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insight into where the public and professional bettors diverge in their assessments of this matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final combined rushing and receiving yards total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, creating a dynamic market price that constantly adjusts based on supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate prediction of the eventual result. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately forecast the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Buffalo and Los Angeles teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the nearest whole yard, reflecting the actual total achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the final yardage total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different outcome will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would be significant, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also cause movement. News regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments or late-breaking information leading up to the game are likely to be reflected in the market price, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest available data.