TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Buffalo and Los Angeles. It focuses on whether key offensive players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage and role in the game plan.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record a minimum number of rushing attempts during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the specific threshold being evaluated.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempts totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. The market operates on a 0 to 100 cents scale, where a price of 50 cents implies a 50% probability.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing attempts total for the Buffalo versus Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing attempts total will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for different totals will receive nothing. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the official release of game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also shift expectations about rushing attempts. Game-day inactives and pre-game reports about offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis that alters the perceived likelihood of different rushing totals could cause price fluctuations.