TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in a football game between Buffalo and Los Angeles. Each market focuses on whether a named player reaches a particular reception threshold during the full game, including overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game starts unless the player meets the reception requirement, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, all contracts settle based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward reception totals, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and guarantee profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing levels of information, biases, and market participation. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating smooth trading. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception total for both teams combined will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the league, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a pass-heavy or run-heavy game, could also impact expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.