TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve various receiving yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. The markets focus on individual player performance, with outcomes determined by their total receiving yards accumulated during the full game, including overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the specified yardage threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods. The event uses official game statistics, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player matchups, weather conditions, or even late-breaking news. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities than simple win/loss spreads found at sportsbooks, especially when considering the total receiving yards.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. Essentially, the market price represents the cost to insure against a specific receiving yard total being exceeded or not exceeded. The market is driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and lower demand pushing them down.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals for the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for both teams, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the combined receiving yards of all eligible players on both teams, as determined by the official game statistics and reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Bills or Rams – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or favorable/unfavorable matchups – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could also impact passing games and therefore shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions related to offensive strategies or personnel could also be a catalyst. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the game's expected outcome could move prices.