TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Buffalo and Los Angeles. Participants bet on whether each player will accumulate a certain number of receiving yards, with payouts scaling linearly based on the actual yards achieved.
Each market operates as a scalar betting contract focused on the receiving yards accumulated by a designated player during the specified football game. For every 'Yes' contract, the payout is calculated at a rate of $0.0025 per receiving yard, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. The 'No' contract payout is determined by subtracting the 'Yes' payout from $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the investor's position size, meaning that larger holdings receive correspondingly larger shares of the total payout. For instance, if a player records 80 receiving yards, the 'Yes' contract would pay $0.20 and the 'No' contract would pay $0.80. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistent payout structures based on actual performance metrics.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of many individuals, creating a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, this market benefits from diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly early on before the prediction market fully matures. It’s always wise to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard outcomes for the Bills-Rams game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current market prices are driven by the expectations of those actively trading.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Buffalo Bills versus Los Angeles Rams game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the highest applicable receiving yard ladder that is achieved during the game. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the final result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the settled outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Bills and Rams are major catalysts, as the absence of a star player would dramatically shift expectations. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, with inclement weather potentially suppressing passing yardage totals. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or changes in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could impact trading activity and price fluctuations.